Friday, March 23, 2007
Without question, biomass for transportation fuels holds pros and cons. Alan Guebert, whose column runs in The Country Today, sees more minuses than pluses.Everything ethanol touches seems to get giddy on either the grain alcohol’s future or its fumes. For example, early last winter several farm groups endorsed a controversial Congressional plan to open America’s outer continental shelf for energy exploration. What dog could groups like the National Corn Growers Association have in the hunt for Gulf of Mexico natural gas?
A big one: More exploration may lead to more natural gas. More natural gas may mean more and cheaper gas-based anhydrous ammonia, corn’s chief fertilizer. More and cheaper fertilizer means more corn and more corn means more ethanol. So, in the circular logic that drives much of the U.S. ethanol industry, more tax-break driven, environmentally- questionable coastal drilling for a natural, clean-burning fuel now will power additional production of a subsidized grain that then will be converted into another, heavier-subsidized fuel.
The legislation passed, and on Dec. 11, NCGA announced its members were “very happy with the legislative victories securing more domestic development of natural gas, continuing our positive push for better trade and extending significant tax incentives for the ever-growing ethanol industry.”
If that recipe — a “positive push for better trade and significant tax incentives” — appears at odds with free market policies promoted by groups like NCGA, keep in mind the Kool-Aid being mixed here includes ethanol. Indeed, the offshore drilling legislation backed by NCGA also extended America’s 54-cents-pergallon tariff on imported ethanol through Jan. 1, 2009, thus protecting domestic producers from cheaper, chiefly Brazilian, ethanol imports for another year.
America’s biggest ethanol backer, Pres. George W. Bush, however, had a hard time swallowing the extension. He wanted — and still wants — an unencumbered U.S. biofuel market. It was a point he again made clear in his March 9 meeting (at an ethanol plant near Sao Paulo) with Brazilian President Luiz Incacio Lula da Silva.
When reporters asked Pres. Lula da Silva if he was going to push the American to cut or eliminate the U.S. tariff on ethanol, Pres. Bush interrupted to say Pres. Lula da Silva, like him, was stuck with the tariff “through the end of my term. It’s not going to happen.’” It’s not going to happen now, but pressure is building for it to happen from three already-apparent directions.
First, even though ethanol is an economically strong 30-year-old, it remains an almost purely political baby. If Latin and South American nations need to export ethanol to create jobs, strengthen their economies and stave off anti-American leaders like Venezuela’s oil-rich populist Hugo Chavez, ethanol’s domestic protection will be dropped like a bad habit. Second, pressure is building within the U.S. to make changes.
On Dec. 18, Pres. Bush’s brother, then-Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, along with several prominent South American business and government officials, launched the Interamerican Ethanol Commission. The IEC’s mission is clear: make ethanol a global commodity and create a free, uninhibited international market for it. Pres. Bush, perhaps proving for the first time that ethanol, like blood, is thicker than water, took an enormous step in that direction March 9 with Brazil’s Pres. Lula da Silva when they agreed to share ethanol-making technology and expand its production across the hemisphere.
The third reason is Brazil itself. The nation that dealt U.S. farmers their biggest global trade defeat ever, the World Trade Organization’s ruling to kill U.S. cotton subsidies, possesses abundant land, cheap labor and a clear will to supply gas-guzzling American and European drivers with the fuel all believe is their birthright.
And like America drilling for more natural gas to make more ethanol, Brazil will burn its remaining rain forests to grow more sugar cane to make more ethanol to make it happen.
© 2007 ag comm
Alan Guebert’s Farm and Food File is published
weekly in more than 75 newspapers in
North America. He lives in Delavan, Ill., and may
be contacted at agcomm@sbcglobal.net.
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